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政治小国 日本の今後はいかに?

日本が先進国でまれにみる政治小国であることに異を唱えるひとはいないでしょう。
ころころと首相が代わるし、日本をどうするというビジョンを示す総理も滅多にいないし、国会議員の数は人口比多すぎるし、衆議院と参議院が存在する意味がどこにあるのかさっぱりわからないし、地方分権がまったくできてないから、相変わらず地方は中央に陳情、そのために利益誘導の政治家ばかりあふれかえるという、とにかくあげればきりがないほどひどい有様。同じ敗戦国であり東西統合という高いハードルを乗り越えたドイツと比べると恥ずかしくなります。

さて、わたしの今後の展望、いや希望について少し述べておきます。

まずわたしは米国その他の先進国のように二大政党の競い合いによる政治を強く望むものです。
しかし、その競争とは、政策による競争であり、今のような政局オンリーの競争ではありません。
そのためには、政策、特に外交と国防についてはほぼ同じくする者たちでひとつの政党を構成することが大前提です。日本の場合、この原則がぼろぼろです。対北政策ひとつとっても、自民党内でも民主党内でも、真逆のひとたちが同じ党に存在します。安保に関しても同様です。これでは、国民はどちらにいれていいか、政策で判断できません。
たとえば、米国であれば、対イラク政策が共和党と民主党ではまったく逆です。また小さな政府と大きな政府でもまったく違う。経済政策も違います。ひとことでいえば共和党がコンサバ、民主党がリベラルなんですが、そういうレッテルはともかく、政策がこうして明確に違っていると、国民は投票しやすくなります。

ひるがえって日本の場合は、自民党も民主党もそもそも党内の意見が統一されていないので、何をどうするのかさっぱりわかりません。見えるのは麻生VS小沢という「顔」だけ。いわば人気投票みたいなレベルの選挙戦になってしまいます。まずこのごったに状態を修正しなければならない、つまりそれは政界再編です(なんども言われてるけど実質起きたことはありません)。

たとえば、自民党の山崎やら加藤のようなまるで旧社会党みたいな考え方をするものは、自民党から出て行くべきです。民主党には社会党の残党が大勢居ますから、民主党にいけばいいのです。逆に民主党は前原などは阿部などのコンサバとほとんど変わらない外交・安保政策を持つわけですから自民党にいけばよい。そうやって、自民党コンサバ、民主党リベラル(これはあくまでレッテルであって、要するに政策が対極にある政党という意味です)というように明確にすればいい。もちろん、外交安保には色々な考え方の人がいて当然ですから、これだけでも投票しやすくなります。

では加藤や山崎は自民党主流派と全然意見が異なるのに、なぜ出て行かないのか?
それは自民党が与党であり続けるからです。万年野党になどいきたくないからですね。
公明党も同じです。政策が全く異なる自民党と組んでいるのは、与党というおいしい立場があるからです。
それならば、自民党が野に落ちればいい。そうすれば、与党にいたい人間が民主党に流れていくはずだからです。これがよくいわれる政界再編のための政権交代の必要性ですね。わたしは小沢も日教組も大嫌いですが、民主党に投票します。自民党を野に落としたいからです。

ただ、野に下ってもかつての細川政権と同じく、短命で終わってしまったら意味ないですね。あのとき社会党が崩壊したように、民主党が崩壊し、また自民党独裁時代が続いてしまうだけです。だから嫌いだけれども、民主党が政権を取ったら、少なくとも数年はきちんとやれる、つまり政権担当能力があることを示して頂きたい。

・・・・期待薄ですが。。。(小沢、えらそうに言ってるけど、辞任騒動のときは民主党に政権担当能力がない、って言ってましたよね・・・orz)

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